Vicente Luque vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

Oct 11, 2025 · ESPN+

DateOct 11, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueFarmasi Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 11, 2025 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 7:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 4:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 12:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 10:00 AM
Your time

Vicente LuqueThe Silent Assassin |24-13-1Vicente Luque vs Santiago PonzinibbioSantiago PonzinibbioArgentine Dagger |30-10-0

Vicente LuqueThe Silent Assassin24-13-1

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

24-13-1Record30-10-0

34Age40

5'11"Height6'0"

75″Reach73″

170 lbsWeight170 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Santiago PonzinibbioArgentine Dagger30-10-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Vicente Luque owns a 10-point Elo edge (good). Vicente Luque shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Vicente Luque and Santiago Ponzinibbio across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Vicente LuqueSantiago Ponzinibbio

Recent form

Vicente LuqueL W L L W · -17 Elo last 5

LWLLW

Santiago PonzinibbioL L W L L · -43 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Elo edge

Vicente Luque1708-16 last move

Santiago Ponzinibbio1698-14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Vicente Luque#48 of 275 active Middleweight fighters · 1708 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Michael Chiesa (rated 1757 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Geoff Neal (rated 1718 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -17 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #47 Mukhamed Berkhamov, 1 ahead of #49 Brunno Ferreira.

Santiago Ponzinibbio#76 of 356 active Welterweight fighters · 1698 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Alex Morono (rated 1749 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jingliang Li (rated 1714 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -43 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #75 Felix Klinkhammer, 3 ahead of #77 Amin Ayoub.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Vicente LuqueNow 1708 · #48 Middleweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1720

Loses by decision-12→ 1696

Santiago PonzinibbioNow 1698 · #76 Welterweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1710

Loses by decision-12→ 1686

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Vicente LuquevsSantiago Ponzinibbio

Submission average

0.70vs0

Takedown accuracy

21%vs12%

Takedown average

0.89vs0.60

Sig. strike accuracy

51%vs42%

Finishing profile

Vicente LuqueKO/TKO leads 46% of wins

Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO leads 57% of wins

Common opponents

Kevin Holland Vicente Luque: loss · Submission (D’arce choke) · Jun 7, 2025 Santiago Ponzinibbio: loss · KO (punch) · Apr 8, 2023

Geoff Neal Vicente Luque: loss · KO (punches) · Aug 6, 2022 Santiago Ponzinibbio: loss · Decision (Split) · Dec 11, 2021

Neil MagnyVicente Luque: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · May 18, 2019Santiago Ponzinibbio: win · KO (punch) · Nov 17, 2018

Tale of the tape

Vicente LuqueSantiago Ponzinibbio

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.80Sig. strikes landed per min4.78

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

51Sig. strike accuracy42

UFC welterweight average : 46%

5.24Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.68

UFC welterweight average : 3.84

52Sig. strike defense62

UFC welterweight average : 53%

0.89Takedown average0.60

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

21Takedown accuracy12

UFC welterweight average : 30%

60Takedown defense71

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0.70Submission average0

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

11Wins by knockout17

10Wins by submission6

3Wins by decision7

2Losses by knockout6

3Losses by submission0

8Losses by decision4

Vicente Luque vs Santiago Ponzinibbio is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : OLIVEIRA VS GAMROT. Vicente Luque enters with a 24-13-1 record and Santiago Ponzinibbio enters with a 30-10-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.