Sarah Moras vs Vanessa Melo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-7-0Record11-12-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'5"
TBDReach65,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Toshido Mixed Martial ArtsTeamBabuino Gold Team
What's at stake
Sarah Moras is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Vanessa Melo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1521
If they lose-17→ 1489
If they win+17→ 1497
If they lose-15→ 1465
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sarah MorasVanessa Melo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sarah Moras66%
Vanessa Melo 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Sarah Moras a 66% favorite over Vanessa Melo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Sarah Moras holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1506 to 1480, a 26-point edge.
Sarah Moras enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Vanessa Melo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Sarah Moras finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Melo 18%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.