Combat Edge Intelligence

Sean Santella vs Tim Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-9-2Record21-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
TBDReach66"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sean SantellaNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
Tim ElliottNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.65
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.71
TBD
Takedown accuracy
48%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.12

Trajectory

Sean SantellaTim Elliott
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
14 (61%)
Submission
8 (38%)
9 (39%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Elliott66%
Sean Santella 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Elliott a 66% favorite over Sean Santella in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean Santella's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1644), separated by just 3 points.

Sean Santella enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sean Santella finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.