Sean Strickland vs Tom Breese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
31-7-0Record21-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
76"Reach73.5"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Renegade· 1737 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Sean Strickland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Tom Breese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1831
If they lose-17→ 1807
If they win+17→ 1700
If they lose-7→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Sean StricklandTom Breese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Strickland83%
Tom Breese 17%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Strickland a 83% favorite over Tom Breese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Sean Strickland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1824 to 1683, a 141-point edge.
Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sean Strickland finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 90%.
Sean Strickland carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.