Shamil Musaev vs Thad Jean
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-1-1Record12-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
71"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Golden Team· 1723 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFight Sports Deerfield Beach
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1798
If they lose-16→ 1766
If they win+16→ 1794
If they lose-16→ 1762
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Shamil MusaevThad Jean
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thad Jean59%
Shamil Musaev 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Thad Jean a 59% favorite over Shamil Musaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamil Musaev's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1782 vs 1778), separated by just 4 points.
Thad Jean enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Shamil Musaev finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Thad Jean 58%.
Shamil Musaev and Thad Jean share 1 common opponent: Logan Storley.
Thad Jean carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.