Combat Edge Intelligence

Shane Mullen vs Shunichi Shimizu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record35-28-10
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Academy Ireland· 1585 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamPolar Gym Osaka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shane MullenNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Shunichi ShimizuNow 1501
If they win+12→ 1513
If they lose-12→ 1489

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.14
Not available
Strike accuracy
33%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
Not available
Strike defense
31%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shane MullenShunichi Shimizu
15002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (12%)
1 (100%)
Submission
19 (56%)
0 (0%)
Decision
11 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Mullen53%
Shunichi Shimizu 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Mullen a 53% favorite over Shunichi Shimizu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shunichi Shimizu's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1501), separated by just 1 points.

Shunichi Shimizu 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.