Combat Edge Intelligence

Shane Mullen vs Shunichi Shimizu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record35-28-10
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Academy IrelandTeamPolar Gym Osaka

What's at stake

Shane Mullen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Shunichi Shimizu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Shane MullenNow 1500
If they win+22→ 1522
If they lose-26→ 1474
Shunichi ShimizuNow 1474
If they win+13→ 1487
If they lose-11→ 1463

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
TBD
Strike defense
31%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Shane MullenShunichi Shimizu
150020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (12%)
1 (100%)
Submission
19 (56%)
0 (0%)
Decision
11 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Mullen63%
Shunichi Shimizu 37%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Mullen a 63% favorite over Shunichi Shimizu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Shane Mullen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1474, a 26-point edge.

Shunichi Shimizu 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.