Combat Edge Intelligence

Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Yaroslav Amosov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-0-0Record30-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

Shavkat Rakhmonov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Yaroslav Amosov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Shavkat RakhmonovNow 1855
If they win+15→ 1870
If they lose-17→ 1838
Yaroslav AmosovNow 1828
If they win+17→ 1845
If they lose-15→ 1813

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
60%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.55
51%
Strike defense
55%
1.40
Takedown avg.
4.64
26%
Takedown accuracy
50%
86%
Takedown defense
0%
1.20
Submission avg.
4.64

Trajectory

Shavkat RakhmonovYaroslav Amosov
180018502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (42%)
KO/TKO
9 (30%)
10 (53%)
Submission
13 (43%)
1 (5%)
Decision
8 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Shavkat Rakhmonov and Yaroslav Amosov within a point of even.

Shavkat Rakhmonov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1855 to 1828, a 27-point edge.

Shavkat Rakhmonov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Yaroslav Amosov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Shavkat Rakhmonov finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Yaroslav Amosov 73%.

Shavkat Rakhmonov and Yaroslav Amosov share 1 common opponent: Neil Magny.

Shavkat Rakhmonov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2022
Neil Magny
WinSubmission · 2025