Combat Edge Intelligence

Shonte Barnes vs Vinicius Moreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-1Record12-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
41,5"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team AshevilleTeamFive Rounds

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Shonte BarnesNow 1567
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543
Vinicius MoreiraNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1475 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.32
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
38%
Strike accuracy
59%
1.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
68%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
1.97
0%
Takedown accuracy
19%
60%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Shonte BarnesVinicius Moreira
15501600202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
2 (33%)
Submission
10 (83%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Shonte Barnes and Vinicius Moreira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1566), separated by just 1 points.

Shonte Barnes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Moreira 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.