Combat Edge Intelligence

Sofia Montenegro vs Veronica Hardy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record10-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'3"
67"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Alfa TeamTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sofia MontenegroNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
Veronica HardyNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.27
Sig. strikes / min
3.06
40%
Strike accuracy
46%
5.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
49%
Strike defense
50%
1
Takedown avg.
0.82
25%
Takedown accuracy
6%
100%
Takedown defense
52%
0
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Sofia MontenegroVeronica Hardy
1550160020242025

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
1 (17%)
Submission
2 (20%)
2 (33%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Sofia Montenegro60%
Veronica Hardy 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Sofia Montenegro a 60% favorite over Veronica Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Veronica Hardy's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1591), separated by just 4 points.

Sofia Montenegro finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Veronica Hardy 30%.

Sofia Montenegro carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.