Sofian Bouafia vs Zachary Borrego
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record7-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
188 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
If they win+16→ 1558
If they lose-16→ 1526
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Sofian BouafiaZachary Borrego
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zachary Borrego53%
Sofian Bouafia 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zachary Borrego a 53% favorite over Sofian Bouafia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1542), separated by just 1 points.
Sofian Bouafia finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Zachary Borrego 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.