Steve Erceg vs Tim Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record21-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Steve Erceg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Tim Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1701
If they lose-18→ 1669
If they win+13→ 1658
If they lose-11→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Steve ErcegTim Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Erceg64%
Tim Elliott 36%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Erceg a 64% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Steve Erceg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1645, a 42-point edge.
Steve Erceg finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.
Steve Erceg carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.