Steve Erceg vs Tim Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record22-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Steve Erceg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tim Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1703
If they lose-17→ 1671
If they win+13→ 1670
If they lose-11→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Steve ErcegTim Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Erceg73%
Tim Elliott 27%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Erceg a 73% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Steve Erceg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1657, a 31-point edge.
Steve Erceg finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 50%.
Steve Erceg carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.