Combat Edge Intelligence

Stevie Ray vs Trevor Peek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Stevie Ray
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Stevie Ray

“Braveheart”

26-13-0WelterweightPFL

1633Solid

Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record9-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach 70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Stevie RayNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Trevor PeekNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
45%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.88
55%
Strike defense
44%
0.75
Takedown avg.
1.45
46%
Takedown accuracy
0%
56%
Takedown defense
53%
0.62
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Stevie RayTrevor Peek
155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (23%)
KO/TKO
8 (89%)
10 (38%)
Submission
0 (0%)
10 (38%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Peek61%
Stevie Ray 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Peek a 61% favorite over Stevie Ray in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Stevie Ray's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1633), separated by just 0 points.

Stevie Ray enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Trevor Peek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stevie Ray finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Peek 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.