Sullivan Cauley vs Ty Flores
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Dan's GymTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Sullivan CauleyTy Flores
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sullivan Cauley60%
Ty Flores 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sullivan Cauley a 60% favorite over Ty Flores in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ty Flores's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.
Sullivan Cauley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sullivan Cauley finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ty Flores 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.