Tabatha Ricci vs Tecia Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'1"
61"Reach60″
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Brazilian ThaiTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Tecia Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tabatha Ricci carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1659
If they lose-15→ 1627
If they win+15→ 1673
If they lose-17→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tabatha RicciTecia Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tabatha Ricci52%
Tecia Pennington 48%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Tabatha Ricci a 52% favorite over Tecia Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tecia Pennington's way (48%).
Tecia Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1642, a 16-point edge.
Tabatha Ricci enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tabatha Ricci finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.
Tabatha Ricci and Tecia Pennington share 1 common opponent: Angela Hill.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.