Taichi Nakajima vs Tsukasa Mizoguchi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-14-1Record4-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Japan Top Team· 1634 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFreelance· 1565 avg Elo · 10 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572
If they win+23→ 1616
If they lose-25→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Taichi NakajimaTsukasa Mizoguchi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tsukasa Mizoguchi53%
Taichi Nakajima 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Tsukasa Mizoguchi a 53% favorite over Taichi Nakajima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1593), separated by just 9 points.
Tsukasa Mizoguchi enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Taichi Nakajima finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Tsukasa Mizoguchi 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.