Taichi Nakajima vs Tsukasa Mizoguchi

Nov 8, 2026 · RIZIN.TV

Combat Edge model forecast38%Taichi Nakajima62%Tsukasa MizoguchiFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 8, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueLaLa arena TOKYO-BAY

BroadcastRIZIN.TV

Taichi Nakajima20-14-1Taichi Nakajima vs Tsukasa MizoguchiTsukasa Mizoguchi4-0-0

Taichi Nakajima20-14-1

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

20-14-1Record4-0-0

37Age23

5'9"Height5'7"

TBDReachTBD

136 lbsWeight135 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Tsukasa Mizoguchi4-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Tsukasa Mizoguchi owns a 9-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Taichi Nakajima and Tsukasa Mizoguchi across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Taichi NakajimaTsukasa Mizoguchi

Recent form

Taichi NakajimaW L W W L · +12 Elo last 5

WLWWL

Tsukasa MizoguchiW W W W · +93 Elo last 4

WWWW

Elo edge

Taichi Nakajima1584+12 last move

Tsukasa Mizoguchi1593+23 last move

Why they are ranked here

Taichi Nakajima#247 of 382 active Bantamweight fighters · 1584 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Rui Imura (rated 1500 at the time): +17.
Costliest loss: Lost to Vugar Karamov (rated 1642 at the time): -15.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +12 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #246 Lasha Gogishvili, 1 ahead of #248 Grigorii Popov.

Tsukasa Mizoguchi#232 of 382 active Bantamweight fighters · 1593 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Ryoma Asai (rated 1467 at the time): +26.
Last 4 fights: 4 wins, 0 losses, +93 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #231 Nicolas Mandiola, 2 ahead of #233 Anas Azizoun.
Inactivity: Placed on 1591, not 1593: 2 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

38%Taichi Nakajima62%Tsukasa Mizoguchi

Model favoriteTsukasa Mizoguchi

Elo baseline51% for Tsukasa Mizoguchi

Matchup adjustment+11 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Tsukasa MizoguchiStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Tsukasa Mizoguchi leads the full model at 62%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 10 points.

Current Elo ratings1584 · 1593Tsukasa Mizoguchi leads by 9 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1574 · 1492Taichi Nakajima faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 4 sampled fights).

Elo record depth32 · 4 fightsTaichi Nakajima has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Taichi NakajimaNow 1584 · #247 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+12→ 1596

Loses by decision-12→ 1572

Tsukasa MizoguchiNow 1593 · #232 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1616

Loses by decision-25→ 1568

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Taichi NakajimavsTsukasa Mizoguchi

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Taichi Nakajimadecision leads 50% of wins

Tsukasa MizoguchiKO/TKO leads 75% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Taichi NakajimaTsukasa Mizoguchi

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

6Wins by knockout3

3Wins by submission0

10Wins by decision1

3Losses by knockout0

1Losses by submission0

10Losses by decision0

Taichi Nakajima vs Tsukasa Mizoguchi is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on RIZIN 55. Taichi Nakajima enters with a 20-14-1 record and Tsukasa Mizoguchi enters with a 4-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.