Combat Edge Intelligence

Talita Alencar vs Vanessa Demopoulos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-1-1Record11-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height5'2"
58"Reach 59"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Temple Martial ArtsTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Talita Alencar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Vanessa Demopoulos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Talita AlencarNow 1668
If they win+12→ 1680
If they lose-20→ 1648
Vanessa DemopoulosNow 1577
If they win+20→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.91
Sig. strikes / min
3.49
38%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.23
56%
Strike defense
42%
3.02
Takedown avg.
0.36
27%
Takedown accuracy
12%
67%
Takedown defense
25%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Talita AlencarVanessa Demopoulos
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
4 (50%)
Submission
4 (36%)
4 (50%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Talita Alencar79%
Vanessa Demopoulos 21%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Talita Alencar a 79% favorite over Vanessa Demopoulos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Talita Alencar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1577, a 91-point edge.

Talita Alencar enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Talita Alencar finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Demopoulos 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.