Combat Edge Intelligence

Tatsuya Kawajiri vs Youssef Zalal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Youssef Zalal
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Youssef Zalal

“The Moroccan Devil”

18-6-1FeatherweightUFC

1736Good

Tale of the tape

37-14-2Record18-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
69.00Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
T-BloodTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tatsuya KawajiriNow 1737
If they win+12→ 1749
If they lose-12→ 1725
Youssef ZalalNow 1736
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
45%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.78
51%
Strike defense
67%
3.63
Takedown avg.
2.17
49%
Takedown accuracy
32%
64%
Takedown defense
59%
1.12
Submission avg.
1.41

Trajectory

Tatsuya KawajiriYoussef Zalal
1650170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
10 (28%)
Submission
10 (56%)
14 (39%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Youssef Zalal71%
Tatsuya Kawajiri 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Youssef Zalal a 71% favorite over Tatsuya Kawajiri in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tatsuya Kawajiri's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1737 vs 1736), separated by just 1 points.

Tatsuya Kawajiri finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Youssef Zalal 78%.

Youssef Zalal carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.