Combat Edge Intelligence

Taylor Johnson vs Tyson Pedro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record10-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team Portland· 1659 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamLions High Performance Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Taylor JohnsonNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Tyson PedroNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.09
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
60%
Strike accuracy
59%
1.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
33%
Strike defense
56%
8.49
Takedown avg.
0.76
100%
Takedown accuracy
15%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Taylor JohnsonTyson Pedro
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (22%)
Submission
5 (50%)
1 (11%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Johnson54%
Tyson Pedro 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Johnson a 54% favorite over Tyson Pedro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.

Tyson Pedro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Taylor Johnson finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Pedro 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.