Tecia Pennington vs Weili Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record26-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height5'4"
60″Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Weili Zhang is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Tecia Pennington carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1680
If they lose-10→ 1648
If they win+7→ 1807
If they lose-17→ 1783
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tecia PenningtonWeili Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Weili Zhang79%
Tecia Pennington 21%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Weili Zhang a 79% favorite over Tecia Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Weili Zhang holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1800 to 1658, a 142-point edge.
Tecia Pennington finishes 13% of wins inside the distance, Weili Zhang 73%.
Tecia Pennington and Weili Zhang share 1 common opponent: Carla Esparza.
Weili Zhang carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.