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Combat Edge Intelligence

Terrence Mitchell vs Willie van Rooyen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
74,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight133 lbs
Legacy Jiu-JitsuTeamA-Team Stars

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Terrence MitchellNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Willie van RooyenNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.21
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
35%
Strike accuracy
Not available
8.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
42%
Strike defense
Not available
3.69
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Terrence MitchellWillie van Rooyen
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
6 (43%)
Submission
1 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Willie van Rooyen52%
Terrence Mitchell 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Willie van Rooyen a 52% favorite over Terrence Mitchell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Terrence Mitchell's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.

Terrence Mitchell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Terrence Mitchell finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Willie van Rooyen 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.