Combat Edge Intelligence

Terrion Ware vs Tom Duquesnoy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-12-0Record16-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
39,0"Reach37,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ScienceTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Tom Duquesnoy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Terrion Ware carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Terrion WareNow 1571
If they win+17→ 1588
If they lose-7→ 1564
Tom DuquesnoyNow 1710
If they win+10→ 1720
If they lose-22→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.02
Sig. strikes / min
3.83
33%
Strike accuracy
45%
6.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.30
50%
Strike defense
63%
0.50
Takedown avg.
0.42
22%
Takedown accuracy
25%
45%
Takedown defense
47%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Terrion WareTom Duquesnoy
1600165017002016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
4 (22%)
Submission
4 (25%)
8 (44%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Tom Duquesnoy84%
Terrion Ware 16%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Tom Duquesnoy a 84% favorite over Terrion Ware in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Tom Duquesnoy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1571, a 139-point edge.

Terrion Ware finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Tom Duquesnoy 75%.

Terrion Ware and Tom Duquesnoy share 1 common opponent: Cody Stamann.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2017
Cody Stamann
LossDEC · 2017