Thad Jean vs Tyron Woodley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-0-0Record19-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'9"
77"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Sports Deerfield BeachTeamAmerican Top Team Evolution
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1794
If they lose-16→ 1762
If they win+12→ 1786
If they lose-12→ 1762
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1761 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Thad JeanTyron Woodley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thad Jean64%
Tyron Woodley 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Thad Jean a 64% favorite over Tyron Woodley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1778 vs 1774), separated by just 4 points.
Thad Jean enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Thad Jean finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tyron Woodley 63%.
Thad Jean carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.