Thibault Gouti vs Vinc Pichel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
41,5"Reach72"
158 lbsWeight155 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Thibault GoutiVinc Pichel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thibault Gouti57%
Vinc Pichel 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Thibault Gouti a 57% favorite over Vinc Pichel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1651), separated by just 0 points.
Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Thibault Gouti finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.