Thimna Mhlauli vs Tomáš Deák
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Tomáš Deák60%
Thimna Mhlauli 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Deák a 60% favorite over Thimna Mhlauli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.
Thimna Mhlauli finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Deák 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record25-15-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'4"
-Reach65.7"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
QuanWessels BJJ & MMA AcademyTeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1574 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1612
If they lose-24→ 1564
If they win+12→ 1601
If they lose-12→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Thimna MhlauliTomáš Deák