Thomas Petersen vs Valter Walker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record16-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'6"
74"Reach 78"
257 lbsWeight264 lbs
Spartan MMATeamGOR MMA· 1738 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Valter Walker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Thomas Petersen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1647
If they lose-10→ 1615
If they win+10→ 1765
If they lose-22→ 1733
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Thomas PetersenValter Walker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Valter Walker70%
Thomas Petersen 30%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Valter Walker a 70% favorite over Thomas Petersen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Valter Walker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1625, a 130-point edge.
Valter Walker enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Thomas Petersen finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Valter Walker 75%.
Thomas Petersen and Valter Walker share 1 common opponent: Don'Tale Mayes.
Valter Walker carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.