Combat Edge Intelligence

Tim Elliott vs Zach Makovsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-14-1Record21-12-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
66"Reach64,0"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Next Generation Mixed Martial ArtsTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Tim Elliott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Zach Makovsky carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Tim ElliottNow 1645
If they win+10→ 1655
If they lose-14→ 1631
Zach MakovskyNow 1587
If they win+14→ 1601
If they lose-10→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
1.94
43%
Strike accuracy
43%
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.24
56%
Strike defense
62%
3.61
Takedown avg.
3.71
25%
Takedown accuracy
31%
59%
Takedown defense
57%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Tim ElliottZach Makovsky
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
8 (38%)
Submission
7 (33%)
10 (48%)
Decision
13 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Elliott76%
Zach Makovsky 24%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Elliott a 76% favorite over Zach Makovsky in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Tim Elliott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1587, a 58-point edge.

Zach Makovsky enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Tim Elliott finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Zach Makovsky 38%.

Tim Elliott carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.