Combat Edge Intelligence

Tim Elliott vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-14-1Record19-9-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
66"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Next Generation Mixed Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tim ElliottNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Zhalgas ZhumagulovNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
5.24
43%
Strike accuracy
43%
3
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
56%
Strike defense
52%
3.61
Takedown avg.
1.30
25%
Takedown accuracy
19%
59%
Takedown defense
75%
1.06
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Tim ElliottZhalgas Zhumagulov
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
8 (38%)
Submission
1 (5%)
10 (48%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Tim Elliott59%
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tim Elliott a 59% favorite over Zhalgas Zhumagulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1643), separated by just 2 points.

Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tim Elliott finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.