Combat Edge Intelligence

Tim Means vs Uros Medic

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Means
us

Tim Means

“The Dirty Bird”

33-17-1WelterweightUFC

1646Solid
Uros Medic
us

Uros Medic

“The Doctor”

14-3-0WelterweightUFC

1729Good

Tale of the tape

33-17-1Record14-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fit NHBTeamKings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Uros Medic is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Tim Means carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Tim MeansNow 1646
If they win+15→ 1661
If they lose-9→ 1637
Uros MedicNow 1729
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-20→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.04
Sig. strikes / min
5.59
49%
Strike accuracy
60%
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.42
60%
Strike defense
57%
1.14
Takedown avg.
0.34
40%
Takedown accuracy
50%
65%
Takedown defense
56%
0.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Tim MeansUros Medic
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (61%)
KO/TKO
12 (86%)
5 (15%)
Submission
2 (14%)
8 (24%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Uros Medic92%
Tim Means 8%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Uros Medic a 92% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Uros Medic holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1646, a 83-point edge.

Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Uros Medic enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tim Means finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Uros Medic 100%.

Tim Means and Uros Medic share 1 common opponent: Daniel Rodriguez.

Tim Means carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission · 2020
Daniel Rodriguez
WinTKO · 2026