Tom Niinimaki vs Wasi Adeshina
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-8-1Record10-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Finnfighters' GymTeamSweden Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1640
If they lose-12→ 1616
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Tom NiinimakiWasi Adeshina
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Niinimaki51%
Wasi Adeshina 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Niinimaki a 51% favorite over Wasi Adeshina in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wasi Adeshina's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1628 vs 1629), separated by just 1 points.
Tom Niinimaki finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Wasi Adeshina 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.