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Combat Edge Intelligence

Tony Ferguson vs Tyrone Pfeifer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-11-0Record8-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
76"Reach-
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Knuckleheadz MMATeamTrans4mer Sports Mainz

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Tony FergusonNow 1658
If they win+12→ 1670
If they lose-12→ 1646
Tyrone PfeiferNow 1658
If they win+24→ 1682
If they lose-24→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.91
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
46%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
0.39
Takedown avg.
Not available
35%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
66%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.88
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Tony FergusonTyrone Pfeifer
155016001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (48%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
8 (32%)
Submission
2 (25%)
5 (20%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Tony Ferguson and Tyrone Pfeifer within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1658), separated by just 0 points.

Tony Ferguson enters on a 9-fight loss streak.

Tyrone Pfeifer enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tony Ferguson finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tyrone Pfeifer 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.