Tracy Cortez vs Vanessa Melo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record11-12-0
FlyweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65"Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamBabuino Gold Team
What's at stake
Tracy Cortez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Vanessa Melo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1693
If they lose-24→ 1661
If they win+24→ 1504
If they lose-8→ 1472
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Tracy CortezVanessa Melo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tracy Cortez92%
Vanessa Melo 8%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Tracy Cortez a 92% favorite over Vanessa Melo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Tracy Cortez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1480, a 205-point edge.
Vanessa Melo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Tracy Cortez finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Melo 18%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.