Combat Edge Intelligence

Tracy Cortez vs Viviane Araujo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Tracy Cortez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Viviane Araujo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Tracy CortezNow 1669
If they win+14→ 1683
If they lose-18→ 1651
Viviane AraujoNow 1625
If they win+18→ 1643
If they lose-14→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
49%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.83
57%
Strike defense
56%
2.15
Takedown avg.
1.72
47%
Takedown accuracy
43%
59%
Takedown defense
75%
0.32
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Tracy CortezViviane Araujo
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
1 (8%)
Submission
4 (29%)
10 (83%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Tracy Cortez60%
Viviane Araujo 40%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Tracy Cortez a 60% favorite over Viviane Araujo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Tracy Cortez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1625, a 44-point edge.

Tracy Cortez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tracy Cortez finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Viviane Araujo 50%.

Viviane Araujo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.