Combat Edge Intelligence

Trevin Giles vs Zak Cummings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trevin Giles
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Trevin Giles

“The Problem”

16-7-0WelterweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record25-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
W4R Training Center· 1622 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Zak Cummings is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Trevin Giles carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Trevin GilesNow 1662
If they win+19→ 1681
If they lose-13→ 1649
Zak CummingsNow 1739
If they win+9→ 1748
If they lose-15→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.17
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
54%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
58%
Strike defense
55%
1.07
Takedown avg.
0.62
50%
Takedown accuracy
28%
72%
Takedown defense
67%
0.29
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Trevin GilesZak Cummings
1650170017502021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
5 (31%)
Submission
12 (48%)
5 (31%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Zak Cummings72%
Trevin Giles 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Zak Cummings a 72% favorite over Trevin Giles in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Zak Cummings holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1662, a 77-point edge.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Trevin Giles finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.