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Combat Edge Intelligence

Trevor Peek vs Yanal Ashmouz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Agoge Combatives· 1612 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1646 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Yanal Ashmouz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Trevor Peek carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Trevor PeekNow 1615
If they win+17→ 1632
If they lose-15→ 1600
Yanal AshmouzNow 1636
If they win+23→ 1659
If they lose-25→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
54%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
44%
Strike defense
56%
1.45
Takedown avg.
4.80
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
53%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Trevor PeekYanal Ashmouz
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
1 (11%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Peek58%
Yanal Ashmouz 42%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Peek a 58% favorite over Yanal Ashmouz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yanal Ashmouz's way (47%).

Yanal Ashmouz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1615, a 21-point edge.

Trevor Peek enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Trevor Peek finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Yanal Ashmouz 75%.

Trevor Peek carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.