Combat Edge Intelligence

Trevor Peek vs Yanal Ashmouz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Agoge CombativesTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Trevor PeekNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Yanal AshmouzNow 1635
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
54%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
44%
Strike defense
56%
1.45
Takedown avg.
4.80
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
53%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Trevor PeekYanal Ashmouz
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (89%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
1 (11%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Yanal Ashmouz53%
Trevor Peek 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yanal Ashmouz a 53% favorite over Trevor Peek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1635), separated by just 2 points.

Trevor Peek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Trevor Peek finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Yanal Ashmouz 75%.

Trevor Peek carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.