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Combat Edge Intelligence

Trey Waters vs Trukon Carson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Trey Waters
us

Trey Waters

“The Truth”

10-3-0WelterweightPFL

1660Good
Trukon Carson
us

Trukon Carson

“The Carolina Gamedog”

6-2-0WelterweightPFL

1572Solid

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record6-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'5"Height5'11"
77"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Ludus MMATeamGym-O

What's at stake

Trey Waters is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Trukon Carson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Trey WatersNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-20→ 1640
Trukon CarsonNow 1572
If they win+30→ 1602
If they lose-18→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.39
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
44%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
0.40
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
86%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.81
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Trey WatersTrukon Carson
155016001650170020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
3 (30%)
Submission
3 (50%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Trey Waters76%
Trukon Carson 24%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Trey Waters a 76% favorite over Trukon Carson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Trey Waters holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1572, a 88-point edge.

Trey Waters finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Trukon Carson 83%.

Trey Waters carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.