Tyron Woodley vs Vicente Luque
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-1Record24-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
74"Reach75″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team EvolutionTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Tyron Woodley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Vicente Luque carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1784
If they lose-14→ 1760
If they win+14→ 1722
If they lose-10→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1761 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Tyron WoodleyVicente Luque
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tyron Woodley52%
Vicente Luque 48%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Tyron Woodley a 52% favorite over Vicente Luque in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Tyron Woodley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1708, a 66-point edge.
Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Tyron Woodley finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.
Tyron Woodley and Vicente Luque share 1 common opponent: Kelvin Gastelum.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.