Combat Edge Intelligence

Tyson Pedro vs Vitor Petrino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Vitor Petrino
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Vitor Petrino

“Icao / Merciless / Cabuloso”

15-2-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1767Great

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record15-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Lions High Performance CentreTeamCM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Vitor Petrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Tyson Pedro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Tyson PedroNow 1592
If they win+23→ 1615
If they lose-9→ 1583
Vitor PetrinoNow 1767
If they win+9→ 1776
If they lose-23→ 1744

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
3.24
59%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
56%
Strike defense
51%
0.76
Takedown avg.
2.60
15%
Takedown accuracy
18%
50%
Takedown defense
79%
0.76
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Tyson PedroVitor Petrino
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
5 (50%)
Submission
2 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Vitor Petrino92%
Tyson Pedro 8%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Petrino a 92% favorite over Tyson Pedro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Vitor Petrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1767 to 1592, a 175-point edge.

Tyson Pedro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Vitor Petrino enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tyson Pedro finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Petrino 67%.

Tyson Pedro and Vitor Petrino share 2 common opponents: Anton Turkalj and Modestas Bukauskas.

Tyson Pedro carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Modestas Bukauskas
WinKO/TKO · 2023
WinKO/TKO · 2023
Anton Turkalj
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023