Umar Nurmagomedov vs Urijah Faber
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-2-0Record35-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Eagles MMA· 1815 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1650 avg Elo · 18 rated
What's at stake
Umar Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Urijah Faber carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1817
If they lose-18→ 1785
If they win+13→ 1782
If they lose-11→ 1758
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Umar NurmagomedovUrijah Faber
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Umar Nurmagomedov71%
Urijah Faber 29%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Umar Nurmagomedov a 71% favorite over Urijah Faber in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Umar Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1803 to 1769, a 34-point edge.
Umar Nurmagomedov finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Urijah Faber 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.