Umar Nurmagomedov vs Yadong Song
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-2-0Record24-9-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Eagles MMA· 1815 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Umar Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Yadong Song carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1817
If they lose-17→ 1785
If they win+13→ 1785
If they lose-11→ 1761
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Umar NurmagomedovYadong Song
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Umar Nurmagomedov54%
Yadong Song 46%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Umar Nurmagomedov a 54% favorite over Yadong Song in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Umar Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1772, a 30-point edge.
Yadong Song enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Umar Nurmagomedov finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Yadong Song 58%.
Umar Nurmagomedov and Yadong Song share 2 common opponents: Deiveson Figueiredo and Cory Sandhagen.
Umar Nurmagomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.