Umar Nurmagomedov vs Yadong Song
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-1-0Record23-9-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Eagles MMATeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Umar Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Yadong Song carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1835
If they lose-19→ 1803
If they win+14→ 1765
If they lose-10→ 1741
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Umar NurmagomedovYadong Song
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Umar Nurmagomedov61%
Yadong Song 39%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Umar Nurmagomedov a 61% favorite over Yadong Song in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Umar Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1822 to 1751, a 71-point edge.
Umar Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Umar Nurmagomedov finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Yadong Song 57%.
Umar Nurmagomedov and Yadong Song share 2 common opponents: Deiveson Figueiredo and Cory Sandhagen.
Umar Nurmagomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.