Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Yazmin Jauregui71%
Vanessa Demopoulos 29%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Yazmin Jauregui a 71% favorite over Vanessa Demopoulos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Yazmin Jauregui holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1563, a 125-point edge.
Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Vanessa Demopoulos finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Yazmin Jauregui 67%.
Yazmin Jauregui carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record12-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
59"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Factory XTeamEntram Gym· 1673 avg Elo · 13 rated
What's at stake
Yazmin Jauregui is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Vanessa Demopoulos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1585
If they lose-10→ 1553
If they win+10→ 1698
If they lose-22→ 1666
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Vanessa DemopoulosYazmin Jauregui