Combat Edge Intelligence

Victor Altamirano vs Vinicius Salvador

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record14-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'9"
70"Reach70,5"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Double Five Mid CitiesTeamMarcelo Ribas Team

What's at stake

Victor Altamirano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Vinicius Salvador carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Victor AltamiranoNow 1636
If they win+14→ 1650
If they lose-18→ 1618
Vinicius SalvadorNow 1593
If they win+18→ 1611
If they lose-14→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.58
Sig. strikes / min
5.48
53%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.50
53%
Strike defense
48%
2.88
Takedown avg.
0.36
38%
Takedown accuracy
11%
63%
Takedown defense
87%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Victor AltamiranoVinicius Salvador
16001650170020232024

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
4 (33%)
Submission
1 (7%)
6 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Victor Altamirano58%
Vinicius Salvador 42%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Victor Altamirano a 58% favorite over Vinicius Salvador in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Victor Altamirano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1593, a 43-point edge.

Victor Altamirano enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Vinicius Salvador enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Victor Altamirano finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Salvador 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.