Evgeny Goncharov24-3-0
Jailton Almeida22-6-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Evgeny Goncharov won
23%Evgeny Goncharov78%Jailton Almeida
Combat Edge Model · Full card
ACA 207: Goncharov vs Almeida predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on ACA 207: Goncharov vs Almeida (September 12, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
16Total bouts
15Frozen forecasts
2Close matchups
2Model / Elo splits
4Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
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Showing all 16 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Kirill Kornilov21-3-1
Khadis Ibragimov11-8-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Kirill Kornilov won
60%Kirill Kornilov40%Khadis Ibragimov
Andrey Koshkin28-11-0
Herdeson Batista22-9-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel miss · Andrey Koshkin won
40%Andrey Koshkin60%Herdeson Batista
Mukhamed Kokov20-12-0
Alexey Polpudnikov37-13-1
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Alexey Polpudnikov won
43%Mukhamed Kokov58%Alexey Polpudnikov
Vadim Ogar10-8-0
Lucas Nascimento13-6-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Prelims
Prelims predictions
11 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Bogdan Plutakhin16-3-0
Nemat Abdrashitov20-10-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Bogdan Plutakhin won
38%Bogdan Plutakhin62%Nemat Abdrashitov
Khasan Dadalov18-2-0
Bagama Nikabagamaev16-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Khasan Dadalov won
43%Khasan Dadalov57%Bagama Nikabagamaev
Anton Vinnikov19-5-1
Arash Sadeghi5-2-1
Model leanModel + Elo agree
67%Anton Vinnikov33%Arash Sadeghi
Evgeny Egemberdiev13-6-0
Arbi Aguev34-13-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Arbi Aguev won
62%Evgeny Egemberdiev38%Arbi Aguev
Akhmed Musakaev12-5-0
Chermen Gobaev10-0-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Chermen Gobaev won
25%Akhmed Musakaev75%Chermen Gobaev
Shamil Ramazanov11-1-0
Denis Maher13-3-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Denis Maher won
52%Shamil Ramazanov48%Denis Maher
Nikolay Galochkin10-2-0
Gegam Manavazyan7-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Nikolay Galochkin won
67%Nikolay Galochkin33%Gegam Manavazyan
Ibragim Kantaev8-2-0
Hacran Dias29-13-1
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Hacran Dias won
56%Ibragim Kantaev44%Hacran Dias
Muslim Ibragimov10-2-0
Michel Silva27-14-1
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Michel Silva won
74%Muslim Ibragimov26%Michel Silva
Murad Kalamov20-9-0
Ruslan Abiltarov25-15-1
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Murad Kalamov won
72%Murad Kalamov28%Ruslan Abiltarov
Sharapudin Magomedov8-1-0
Albert Misikov4-4-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel miss · Sharapudin Magomedov won
45%Sharapudin Magomedov55%Albert Misikov