Štefan Vojčák11-2-0
Marcin Wójcik22-12-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Štefan Vojčák won
61%Štefan Vojčák39%Marcin Wójcik
Combat Edge Model · Full card
KSW 121: Vojcak vs Wojcik predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on KSW 121: Vojcak vs Wojcik (September 19, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
8Total bouts
8Frozen forecasts
2Close matchups
2Model / Elo splits
0Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
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Main card predictions
8 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Michał Michalski15-6-0
Radosław Paczuski8-4-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel miss · Michał Michalski won
45%Michał Michalski56%Radosław Paczuski
Leo Brichta14-8-0
Kacper Formela21-6-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Kacper Formela won
45%Leo Brichta55%Kacper Formela
Muslim Tulshaev14-4-0
Kacper Koziorzębski13-6-0
Model leanModel + Elo agree
68%Muslim Tulshaev32%Kacper Koziorzębski
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Market: Polymarket, last pre-fight price. Analytics, not betting advice.
Łukasz Charzewski15-4-0
Josef Štummer8-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Josef Štummer won
64%Łukasz Charzewski37%Josef Štummer
Hanka Gelnarová1-1-0
Małgorzata Popowicz1-0-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Małgorzata Popowicz won
59%Hanka Gelnarová41%Małgorzata Popowicz
Adrian Dudek8-6-0
Borys Dzikowski5-4-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel hit · Borys Dzikowski won
39%Adrian Dudek61%Borys Dzikowski
Samuel Bily0-2-0
Dominik Zadora1-1-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineModel hit · Dominik Zadora won
46%Samuel Bily54%Dominik Zadora