Johnny Eblen18-1-0
Impa Kasanganay20-7-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Johnny Eblen won
60%Johnny Eblen40%Impa Kasanganay
Combat Edge Model · Full card
PFL Austin: Eblen vs Kasanganay 2 predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on PFL Austin: Eblen vs Kasanganay 2 (July 18, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
9Total bouts
9Frozen forecasts
3Close matchups
1Model / Elo splits
2Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
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Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 9 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
9 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Lewis McGrillen13-2-0
Rafael do Nascimento13-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Rafael do Nascimento won
69%Lewis McGrillen31%Rafael do Nascimento
Caolán Loughran11-4-0
Julio Arce22-7-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel miss · Julio Arce won
51%Caolán Loughran49%Julio Arce
Jesus Pinedo26-8-1
Joey Ruquet11-5-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Jesus Pinedo won
84%Jesus Pinedo16%Joey Ruquet
Biaggio Ali Walsh4-2-0
Gamid Khizriev8-0-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Gamid Khizriev won
50%Biaggio Ali Walsh50%Gamid Khizriev
Andrea Vázquez8-4-0
Aleksandra Savicheva8-2-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineEven call · Aleksandra Savicheva won
50%Andrea Vázquez50%Aleksandra Savicheva
Mia Grawe3-1-0
Ashley Thiner3-0-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Ashley Thiner won
62%Mia Grawe38%Ashley Thiner
Jackson Glass4-0-0
Zak Flessas3-2-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Jackson Glass won
72%Jackson Glass28%Zak Flessas
Victoria Alba7-2-0
Borena Tsertsvadze6-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Victoria Alba won
40%Victoria Alba60%Borena Tsertsvadze