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Combat Edge Model · Full card

UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson predictions

Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson (September 21, 2013), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.

13Total bouts
0Frozen forecasts
0Close matchups
0Model / Elo splits
0Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 21, 2013 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET)
Sat 1:15 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 10:15 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 6:15 PM
Central Europe
Sat 7:15 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 3:15 AM

No frozen predictions for this card yet — the model scores every bout once the matchups are locked. Check back shortly.

Main card

Main card predictions

13 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.