Demetrious Johnson25-4-1
Chris Cariaso17-8-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Combat Edge Model · Full card
UFC 178 : JOHNSON VS CARIASO predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC 178 : JOHNSON VS CARIASO (September 27, 2014), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
11Total bouts
0Frozen forecasts
0Close matchups
0Model / Elo splits
0Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
No frozen predictions for this card yet — the model scores every bout once the matchups are locked. Check back shortly.
Main card
Main card predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Donald Cerrone36-17-0
Eddie Alvarez30-8-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Dustin Poirier30-10-0
Conor McGregor22-7-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Tim Kennedy18-6-0
Yoel Romero17-7-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Cat Zingano14-5-0
Amanda Nunes23-5-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Prelims
Prelims predictions
4 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Dominick Cruz24-4-0
Takeya Mizugaki23-14-2
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Jorge Masvidal35-17-0
James Krause28-8-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Patrick Cote23-11-0
Stephen Thompson17-9-1
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
John Howard29-19-1
Brian Ebersole51-18-1
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Early prelims
Early prelims predictions
2 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Manny Gamburyan15-10-0
Cody Gibson21-13-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.