Ode Osbourne vs Cody Durden

Jul 11, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast38%Ode Osbourne62%Cody DurdenFull forecast

DateJul 11, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, July 11, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Ode OsbourneThe Jamaican Sensation |13-9-0Ode Osbourne vs Cody DurdenCody DurdenCustom Made |18-11-1

Ode OsbourneThe Jamaican Sensation13-9-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

13-9-0Record18-11-1

34Age35

5'7"Height5'7"

73"Reach67"

125 lbsWeight135 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Cody DurdenCustom Made18-11-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Cody Durden owns a 34-point Elo edge (solid). Cody Durden shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Ode Osbourne and Cody Durden across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Ode OsbourneCody Durden

Recent form

Ode OsbourneL L W L L · -29 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Cody DurdenL W L L L · -37 Elo last 5

LWLLL

Elo edge

Ode Osbourne1591-12 last move

Cody Durden1625-12 last move

Why they are ranked here

Ode Osbourne#130 of 212 active Flyweight fighters · 1591 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Luis Gurule (rated 1701 at the time): +25.
Costliest loss: Lost to Tyson Nam (rated 1620 at the time): -20.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -29 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #129 Kun Zhou, 1 ahead of #131 Leopold Goi.

Cody Durden#93 of 212 active Flyweight fighters · 1625 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Matt Schnell (rated 1643 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Bruno Silva (rated 1653 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -37 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #92 Ryohei Kurosawa, 1 ahead of #94 Jose Torres.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v3-2026-06-10

38%Ode Osbourne62%Cody Durden

Model favoriteCody Durden

Elo baseline57% for Cody Durden

Matchup adjustment+5 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Cody DurdenStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Cody Durden leads the full model at 62%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 5 points.

Current Elo ratings1591 · 1625Cody Durden leads by 34 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1664 · 1678Cody Durden faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth23 · 30 fightsCody Durden has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesOde Osbourne 1 · 3 Cody DurdenStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Cody Durden.

What's at stake

Ode OsbourneNow 1591 · #130 Flyweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1609

Loses by decision-14→ 1577

Cody DurdenNow 1625 · #93 Flyweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1636

Loses by decision-13→ 1612

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Ode OsbournevsCody Durden

Takedown accuracy

0%vs10%

Takedown average

0.94vs3.99

Submission average

0.40vs0.65

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.24vs3.94

Finishing profile

Ode OsbourneKO/TKO leads 46% of wins

Cody DurdenKO/TKO leads 33% of wins

Common opponents

Jafel Filho Ode Osbourne: loss · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Mar 16, 2024 Cody Durden: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Apr 25, 2026

Charles Johnson Ode Osbourne: win · Decision (Split) · Feb 25, 2023 Cody Durden: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Apr 29, 2023

Tale of the tape

Ode OsbourneCody Durden

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.94Sig. strikes landed per min3.24

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

41Sig. strike accuracy45

UFC flyweight average : 44%

3.24Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.94

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

49Sig. strike defense51

UFC flyweight average : 55%

0.94Takedown average3.99

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

0Takedown accuracy10

UFC flyweight average : 26%

67Takedown defense57

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0.40Submission average0.65

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

6Wins by knockout6

4Wins by submission6

3Wins by decision6

2Losses by knockout2

4Losses by submission6

3Losses by decision3

Ode Osbourne vs Cody Durden is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 329 : MCGREGOR VS HOLLOWAY 2. Ode Osbourne enters with a 13-9-0 record and Cody Durden enters with a 18-11-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.