Conor McGregor22-7-0
Max Holloway28-9-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Max Holloway won
37%Conor McGregor63%Max Holloway
Combat Edge Model · Full card
UFC 329 : MCGREGOR VS HOLLOWAY 2 predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC 329 : MCGREGOR VS HOLLOWAY 2 (July 11, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
14Total bouts
14Frozen forecasts
1Close matchups
4Model / Elo splits
4Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
Card intelligence
Find the fights that matter
Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 14 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Benoit Saint-Denis17-4-0
Paddy Pimblett24-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Paddy Pimblett won
66%Benoit Saint-Denis34%Paddy Pimblett
Cory Sandhagen18-7-0
Mario Bautista18-3-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Mario Bautista won
30%Cory Sandhagen70%Mario Bautista
Brandon Royval18-9-0
Lone’er Kavanagh10-2-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel miss · Brandon Royval won
34%Brandon Royval66%Lone’er Kavanagh
King Green36-17-1
Terrance McKinney18-9-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel miss · King Green won
40%King Green60%Terrance McKinney
Prelims
Prelims predictions
4 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Nikita Krylov31-12-0
Robert Whittaker27-9-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel miss · Robert Whittaker won
52%Nikita Krylov48%Robert Whittaker
Gable Steveson4-0-0
Elisha Ellison5-3-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Gable Steveson won
62%Gable Steveson38%Elisha Ellison
Cody Garbrandt15-8-0
Adrian Yanez18-6-1
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel hit · Adrian Yanez won
40%Cody Garbrandt60%Adrian Yanez
Luke Riley14-0-0
Kai Kamaka III18-8-1
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Luke Riley won
71%Luke Riley29%Kai Kamaka III
Early prelims
Early prelims predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Tracy Cortez12-4-0
Cong Wang10-1-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Cong Wang won
30%Tracy Cortez70%Cong Wang
Damian Pinas10-1-0
César Almeida7-3-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Damian Pinas won
78%Damian Pinas22%César Almeida
Farid Basharat16-0-0
John Garza6-2-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Farid Basharat won
75%Farid Basharat25%John Garza
Ryan Gandra10-1-0
Zach Reese10-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Ryan Gandra won
60%Ryan Gandra40%Zach Reese
Alessandro Costa17-5-0
Cody Durden18-11-1
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Alessandro Costa won
72%Alessandro Costa28%Cody Durden