UFC 329 : MCGREGOR VS HOLLOWAY 2 predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on UFC 329 : MCGREGOR VS HOLLOWAY 2 (July 11, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data, frozen before fight night, and graded on the accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
Start time & how to watch
Main card starts Saturday, July 11, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.
- US East (ET)
- Sat 9:00 PM
- US West (PT)
- Sat 6:00 PM
- United Kingdom
- Sun 2:00 AM
- Central Europe
- Sun 3:00 AM
- Australia (Sydney)
- Sun 11:00 AM
- Your time
Main card
Conor McGregor 36% 64% Max Holloway Elo alone: 46% / 54% Paddy Pimblett 46% 54% Benoit Saint-Denis Elo alone: 49% / 51% Cory Sandhagen 36% 64% Mario Bautista Elo alone: 49% / 51% Brandon Royval 36% 64% Lone’er Kavanagh Elo alone: 51% / 49% Gable Steveson 64% 36% Elisha Ellison Elo alone: 52% / 48% Robert Whittaker 37% 63% Nikita Krylov Elo alone: 55% / 45% Cody Garbrandt 38% 62% Adrian Yanez Elo alone: 50% / 50% Tracy Cortez 38% 62% Cong Wang Elo alone: 49% / 51% Damian Pinas 73% 27% César Almeida Elo alone: 54% / 46% Luke Riley 73% 27% Kai Kamaka III Elo alone: 59% / 41% Ryan Gandra 53% 47% Zach Reese Elo alone: 51% / 49% Ode Osbourne 38% 62% Cody Durden Elo alone: 44% / 56%