Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Tau vs Namsrai Batbayar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Aaron Tau
nz

Aaron Tau

“Tauzemup”

11-1-0FlyweightUFC

1670Good

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record9-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
66"Reach68"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
City KickboxingTeamOne Team Fighting Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron TauNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Namsrai BatbayarNow 1674
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.85
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
44%
Strike accuracy
40%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
60%
Strike defense
46%
0.89
Takedown avg.
2.15
18%
Takedown accuracy
25%
65%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Aaron TauNamsrai Batbayar
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
1 (9%)
Submission
5 (56%)
3 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Namsrai Batbayar63%
Aaron Tau 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Namsrai Batbayar a 63% favorite over Aaron Tau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1674), separated by just 4 points.

Aaron Tau enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Namsrai Batbayar enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Aaron Tau finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Namsrai Batbayar 100%.

Namsrai Batbayar carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.