Combat Edge Intelligence

Aaron Tau vs Namsrai Batbayar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Aaron Tau
nz

Aaron Tau

“Tauzemup”

11-1-0FlyweightUFC

1670Good

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
66"Reach68"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
City KickboxingTeamOne Team Fighting Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aaron TauNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Namsrai BatbayarNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.85
Sig. strikes / min
4.44
44%
Strike accuracy
45%
5
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.42
60%
Strike defense
48%
0.89
Takedown avg.
2.85
18%
Takedown accuracy
0%
65%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Aaron TauNamsrai Batbayar
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
1 (9%)
Submission
5 (50%)
3 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Namsrai Batbayar56%
Aaron Tau 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Namsrai Batbayar a 56% favorite over Aaron Tau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aaron Tau's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1666), separated by just 4 points.

Aaron Tau enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Aaron Tau finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Namsrai Batbayar 100%.

Aaron Tau and Namsrai Batbayar share 1 common opponent: Shuai Yin.

Namsrai Batbayar carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
Shuai Yin
WinTKO (Knee and Punches) · 2026